Sandbox token SAND rallies 260% in November ahead of play-to-earn metaverse launch

Market Analysis

SAND, the native token of the Sandbox — a blockchain-based gaming platform owned by Animoca Brands, inched higher on Tuesday, building on its gains made all across November, to reach another record high.

SAND token price rose to $5.64 after swelling 16.25% intraday but retraced some of those gains to trade at $5.54 at the press time. The move took the Sandbox token’s month-to-date (MTD) and year-to-date (YTD) gains to nearly 260% and over 14,700%, respectively, with its market capitalization crossing above $5 billion, making it the 41st-largest coin in the sector.

SAND/USDT daily price chart. Source: TradingView

Many catalysts behind the SAND price rally

This month’s exuberance was in part attributable to Sandbox’s announcement of opening up part of its metaverse via its multi-week play-to-earn (P2E) Alpha event beginning Nov. 29, at 13:00 UTC.

In detail, the blockchain startup confirmed that it would select a group of 5,000 players to earn up to 1,000 SAND (now worth $5,540) and three nonfungible tokens (NFT) as they spent time across Sandbox’s eighteen virtual experiences.

Additionally, the recent bout of buying across the SAND spot markets — which saw its price gain over about 37% and 40% against the U.S. dollar and Bitcoin (BTC) in the previous 24 hours — came on hopes of a potential collaboration between the Sandbox and sports merchandise giant Adidas.

On Monday, Adidas’s Twitter handle was seen discussing the potential to build a so-called “adiVerse” with the support from the @theSandboxGame, the Sandbox’s official Twitter account.

The tweet received nearly 1,450 retweets and 4,400 likes.

RSI divergence in play

Despite solid fundamentals, SAND risked rallying into a bull trap as its price trends showed clear deviations from its relative strength index (RSI).

Specifically, the RSI typically returns higher values when the market rises, and lower values when it falls. Occasionally, the RSI and the market move in an opposite direction, leading to so-called RSI divergences.

Related: Metaverse and blockchain gaming altcoins rally while Bitcoin looks for support

That said, a falling RSI and a rising market show a bearish divergence. Notably, since the beginning of November, SAND has been forming a similar RSI divergence, a sign that the momentum in the move upside has been slowing down.

SAND/USDT daily price chart featuring bearish RSI divergence. Source: TradingView

That does not mean that the bull trend is over, but alerts about a possible short-term pullback move. The following chart shows the potential entry and exit targets for the sessions ahead, based on the Fibonacci retracement graph between $0.17-swing low and $8.72-swing high.

SAND/USDT daily price chart featuring Fib level targets. Source: TradingView

A pullback upon testing 0.382 Fib level at $5.45 could have SAND return to its next support line at the 0.5 Fib level, near $4.45. The same line has acted as resistance during SAND’s upside attempts between Nov. 18 and Nov. 22.

Conversely, a continued move above $5.45, accompanied by a rise in volumes, may open the possibility for SAND to test $6.70 — at 0.236 Fib level — as its next upside target.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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